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Predictors' success rate

The success rate for all the predictors under all categories, on u4see, is 64.23%.
Use the filters below to lookup success rate of specific individuals and/or categories

Prediction Predictor Result
All hundred of us (at Meta) will be working with Augmented Reality machines by 2018 - view Meron Gribetz Pending
Trump will not be the US president - view Barack Obama, Norman Ornstein Proved False
Obama Predicts Next President Will Lift Cuban Embargo - view Barack Obama Pending
Donald Trump has the best chance to win the Mar 22 Arizona Primary (Republican) - view David Rothschild Came True
Ted Cruz has the best chance to win the Mar 22 Utah Primary (Republican) - view David Rothschild Came True
Bernie Sanders has the best chance to win the Mar 22 Idaho Caucus (Democratic) - view David Rothschild Came True
Bernie Sanders has the best chance to win the Mar 22 Utah Primary (Democratic) - view David Rothschild Came True
Hillary Clinton has the best chance to win the Mar 22 Arizona Primary (Democratic) - view David Rothschild Came True
I will pose tax on Wall Street speclations - view Bernie Sanders Pending
If elected president, we will change the relationship of the US government to the sovereign native American tribes - view Bernie Sanders Pending
I will pass comprehensive immigration laws - view Bernie Sanders Pending
We will make nationally minimum wage $15 an hour - view Bernie Sanders Pending
Possession of Marijuana will (should) not be a federal crime - view Bernie Sanders Pending
We are going to move toward public funding of elections - view Bernie Sanders Pending
We are going to turn Citizens United - view Bernie Sanders Pending
Bernie Sanders will win Utah - view Tyler Pedigo Came True
Bernie Sanders will win Arizona - view Tyler Pedigo Proved False
Bernie Sanders will win Idaho - view Tyler Pedigo Came True
Donald Trump has the best chance of winning the Arizona Republican Primary - view Nate Silver Came True
NCAA March Madness - Kansas will win the tournament - view Chris Dobbertean Proved False
Donald Trump: If I Don’t Get The Nomination, There Will Be Riots - view Donald Trump Cancelled
Carson predicts turmoil if Trump is denied nomination - view Ben Carson Cancelled
Former IMF economist predicts another (Global) massive financial meltdown - view Simon Johnson Pending
From the Republicans, John Kasich will win the Ohio Primary election - view David Rothschild Came True
From the Democrats, Hillary Clinton will win the Ohio Primary election - view David Rothschild Came True
From the Democrats, Bernie Sanders will win the Missouri Primary election - view David Rothschild Proved False
From the Democrats, Hillary Clinton will win the North Carolina Primary election - view David Rothschild Came True
From the Democrats, Hillary Clinton will win the Illinois Primary election - view David Rothschild Came True
From the Democrats, Hillary Clinton will win the Florida Primary election - view David Rothschild Came True
From the Republicans, Donald Trump will win the North Carolina Primary election - view David Rothschild Came True
From the Republicans, Donald Trump will win the Missouri Primary election - view David Rothschild Came True
From the Republicans, Donald Trump will win the Illinois Primary election - view David Rothschild Came True
From the Republicans, Donald Trump will win the Florida Primary election - view David Rothschild Came True
Hillary Clinton will make Elizabeth Warren her running mate. - view John_sm Proved False
John Kasich has the best chance of winning the Ohio Republican primary - view Nate Silver Came True
Donald Trump has the best chance of winning the North Carolina Republican primary - view Nate Silver Came True
Hillary Clinton has the best chance of winning the Ohio Democratic primary - view Nate Silver Came True
Hillary Clinton has the best chance of winning the North Carolina Democratic primary - view Nate Silver Came True
Hillary Clinton has the best chance of winning the Illinois Democratic primary - view Nate Silver Came True
Donald Trump has the best chance of winning the Illinois Republican primary - view Nate Silver Came True
Hillary Clinton has the best chance (99%) of winning the Florida Democratic primary - view Nate Silver Came True
Donald Trump has the best chance of winning the Florida Republican primary - view Nate Silver Came True
John Kasich predicts a contested Republican Convention - view John Kasich Proved False
Conrad Black predicts Trump presidency: 'You can't stop him' - view Conrad Black Came True
Hillary Clinton Can't Win In 2016 - view Bill Whalen Came True
Hillary Clinton's will take us into a future that will include more interventionists wars and regimes change - view Tulsi Gabbard Pending
Trump will win U.S. presidency, prof Helmut Norpoth predicts - view Helmut Norpoth Came True
Trump will beat Hillary Clinton - view Aubrey Immelman Came True
Donald Trump is rated the most probable winner of the Republican Caucus in Wyoming - view Paul Krishnamurty Cancelled
Donald Trump is rated the most probable winner of the Republican Primary election in Virginia - view Paul Krishnamurty Came True

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Top 5 Predictors

u4see Rank Predictor Success Rate (in %) Promises & Predictions
1 David Rothschild 85 119
2 Nate Silver 82 99
3 Paul Krishnamurty 75 24
4 Barack Obama 54 22
5 Pete Prisco 73 19
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